05-23-2023, 04:22 PM
(05-23-2023, 04:07 PM)WeezyBengal Wrote: Is getting "more yards on the ground" more valuable than turnovers? He turns the ball over at a very high clip - both INTs and fumbles. It'd be interesting to see how that compares to the value he adds getting yards with his legs.
I think the best way to calculate this would be to use EPA per dropback and the answer is yes. It all depends on where the fumbles occur, of course. Not all turnovers are equal just like not all TDs are equal. Combining both rushing and passing together, Josh Allen ranked #2 in EPA per dropback last season, Burrow was #5. Allen ranked #8 in 2021, Burrow was #7. In 2020, Allen ranked #4.
Without a further dive, I am not positive why Allen is ranked so highly despite the turnovers. My initial guess is that his turnovers aren't that costly I.E. he isn't throwing a bunch of interceptions near his own endzone and offensively, he is generating big, chunk plays and scoring on them both in the air and on the ground. Allen, by EPA per attempt, was the #1 rusher last season. Above Fields, Hurts, and all RBs.
