The Mahomes Vs. Burrow Debate

[Whatever]

(06-23-2023, 09:40 AM)Housh Wrote: Burrow is better from minute 1 to minute 40 but Mahommes becomes another guy in clutch moments and that can’t be measured statistically.


Imo with no bias i don’t see how you can take Burrow over Mahommes right now. The main talking point id use in a Burrow defense is that Mahommes still has a tendency to throw up a BS pass if he’s pressured. Burrow essentially erased that from his game last year. So Burrow is more careful turnover wise but Mahommes is just better right now.

Eh, I remember Mahomes choking hard and throwing a pick into double coverage in OT in the AFCCG.  I also remember Mahomes doing basically nothing in the clutch in the AFCCG this past year and getting bailed out by a massive punt return, a no call on a block in the back on said punt return, and a late hit out of bounds.  Even 13 seconds was more Hill than Mahomes.

To me, the argument revolves around Aggressiveness % from NFL Next Gen Stats. It's a star that measures throws to receivers with defenders within one yard.   Last year, Mahomes was 2nd lowest st at 10.2%..  Joe was at 15.3%, meaning he's making a lot more tight window throws.  If you look at Completion % vs Expected, Mahomes was actually -.1 while Joe was +2.2%.  In '21, Mahomes had only an 8.7% Aggressiveness % and a -2.1% Completion % Versus Expected, compared to a staggering 19% and +6% for our boy.  Mahomes is great, but Andy Reid is also a genius and his offense affords Mahomes a lot of easy throws which Pat doesn't quite deliver break even production on.  Now, to his credit, he functions extremely well within the system and doesn't get his team in trouble by trying to do too much, but Burrow is a better tight window thrower with greater ability to drop a dime to a covered receiver.