06-28-2023, 11:55 AM
(06-26-2023, 06:24 PM)KillerGoose Wrote: I think there's two distinct points in this answer...
So, yeah, I do think we would be having this conversation. Mahomes is a top flight QB and it isn't just because of Reid or his offensive line. He is genuinely just very good.
- Do I think Mahomes would be a multiple time Super Bowl winner? No, probably not.
- Do I think Mahomes still would have turned out really, really good? Yes, absolutely.
It's hard to play what if, but I don't know that Mahomes would be a slam dunk regardless of where he went.
He got a year to sit and and be groomed with what was already a playoff team, which is a big advantage few first round QB's are afforded anymore.
Looking at Next Gen Stats, he has never had a Time to Throw lower than 2.82 seconds, has been bottom five in his % of throws to targets with a defender within one yard every year, and has only had a positive Completion % vs Expected once. Throw in the fact that he was Top 10 last year in being partially responsible for his pressures and the advanced stats very much look like a guy who is slow to get the ball out, has average accuracy, and works in an offense that affords him a large number of easy throws. The fact that he is consistently Top 5 in Expected Completion % supports this.