07-31-2023, 02:20 PM
(07-31-2023, 02:17 PM)ochocincos Wrote: I would agree, but that's also because I think a good pitching outing is 3 allowed runs or less.
If your SP is getting a quality start (6+ innings, 3 or less earned runs) and your bullpen doesn't allow a run (which is the expectation), 4 runs should be enough.
yea, 4 runs is right on that line where, as you said, if your pitchers are meeting expectations, you should win.
Quality Start + blank bullpen innings is your ideal "realistic" scenario for any given game (obviously, it's great if your starter blanks them for 6 innings, but it's hard to expect that from them). The 5th run, in my estimation, is just a little bit of insurance for when your starter or bullpen falters slightly which is why I have it as my goal for a "good" offensive outing.