11-13-2023, 10:41 AM
(11-13-2023, 10:23 AM)Crazyjdawg Wrote: I don't have the All 22, nor would I have the time or expertise to watch it and break down what exactly happened in this game but, with the exception of the TD pass to Irwin, Burrow seemed to have been in check down mode for the first three quarters of the game.
This is his spray chart from Next Gen Stats:
Joe Burrow's NGS chart from today. pic.twitter.com/bVBOrHOlsV
— Goodberry (@JoeGoodberry) November 12, 2023
Look at ALL those dots at the LOS, behind the LOS and within 5 yards of the LOS. I count 17 in total. That's 42.5% of his passes that didn't travel more than 5 yards in the air.
In that 5 drive drought:
Boyd for 4 yards
Williams for 2 yards
Incomplete to Mixon
Mixon for -1 yards
Incomplete to Hudson, short
Boyd for 2 yards
Boyd for 1 yards
Now, in the final quarter of the game (maybe the final 20 to 25 minutes, as things started changing sometime mid 3rd quarter), you can finally start to see the offense open up a bit.
Dropped pass over the middle to Boyd
14 yards to Boyd
10 yards to Boyd
DPI against Boyd on what would have been a ~20 yard pass
64 yards to Chase
19 yards to Boyd
The interception to Sample, which honestly should have been caught for a huge gain
22 yards to Irwin
16 yards to Chase
64 yards to Boyd
The should have been game winning touchdown pass to Boyd.
Maybe the defense radically changed between the first three quarters and the final quarter that allowed Burrow to start throwing it downfield, but I think it's more likely the attitude changed. Instead of playing safe, they started playing to win. And it should have worked, if not for some critical drops.
Hopefully, that change in attitude continues into Thursday. I want to see the ball fly out of Burrow's hand, not get dumped off to the RB or TE 2 yards past the LOS.
They don't take a lot of risk, especially when the game is close. I think Burrow's number one concern is limiting risk and not turning the ball over. In doing so, he tends to play on the safer side and not take as many chances down the field.
I used to rip the coaching staff because the offense would go into lulls at time, but I honestly think thats more on Burrow than the staff.
You saw it yesterday. When the game was close, the offense went into a lull for almost 3 quarters. Then Burrow was FORCED to start throwing the ball down field and they got it moving again.
Maybe that's by design and that's the recipe they are comfortable with...idk why you wouldnt just play with urgency on every drive and try to score, though.
