11-27-2023, 10:44 AM
(11-27-2023, 01:26 AM)Bengalstripes9 Wrote: If we lost out and stay at 5 wins, things could swing in our favor for draft position.
There are only 4 teams with less than 4 wins (patriots, panthers, bears, cardinals).
With Murray back with the cardinals they could win a few more, but who knows? I don’t expect us leapfrogging these 4 teams.
There are 6 four win teams above us in the draft order (jets, chargers, bucs, titans, giants, commanders).
Out of this group I think the commanders likely don’t win many more games after trading their best defensive players away. The giants also look bad and have a lot of injuries.
Otherwise the jets, chargers, titans, and bucs are talented teams and should pass below us in the draft order.
The packers, rams, saints, and raiders have 5 wins and are below us in the standings right now, but they are talented and should win more than us down the stretch.
I’m fully expecting us to drop from the 15 spot to pick 7, which would be great draft position to improve the team going into next year.
With our remaining schedule I really don’t see us with a chance to beat anyone except for the Steelers and maybe Indy. If we lose out I know it’s not great for morale, but I really think it will be best for the team long term as it will force the coaches and management to reflect, make changes, and improve the team.
Who do you think we can grab at pick 7? I’m hoping to see us grab an offensive lineman or defensive lineman.
Im tired of all the wide receiver picks. You can draft wideouts much lower with a high success rate. Lineman are harder to draft lower on the elite side. I’d be okay with an elite corner at 7 as well.
If we have the #7 overall pick, my #1 target is Jer'Zhan Newton. Our Dline is expensive as shit and not producing enough pass rush. Hendrickson is doing his job and Murphy is coming along, but what we really lack is an inside push. That isn't Reader's role and while Hill does get good pressure on occasion, a true game wrecker like Newton would be the X factor for this defense.
Target #2 would be Olu Fashanu/Joe Alt (depending on which is available) or, if you're concerned about the left tackle to right tackle transition (since we aren't moving Orlando Brown Jr), you got Taliese Fuaga or JC Latham, although I wonder if either would be considered a reach with a top 10 pick. At the moment, they would be considered a suboptimal pick.
This is assuming that we don't retain Williams for more than a single season (like a franchise tag). If we re-sign him, these four are off the table for me.
If those five are not available, I'd consider an edge rusher like Laiatu Latu or Jared Verse, but only if they test elite at the combine. I don't see any "generational prospects" like Myles Garrett at edge this year, so one of these guys will need to test elite to be worth this pick, especially since we already have Murphy, Hubbard and Hendrickson. We'll need to grab a second starter in the next couple off seasons, but we don't need to do it at this pick if the value isn't there.
After that, I'd start looking at skill position players like Brock Bowers or Malik Nabers. I would consider Rome Odunze, but taking a WR from Washington in the top 10...well, let's just say I have PSTD in that regard. I wouldn't select either Egbuka or Coleman at #7 though. They just don't have the production profile I look for in a top 10 pick. I know, I know...measurables. But still, drafting a guy with less than 2000 career receiving yards in 3 seasons? Yeesh.