ESPN Playoff Simulator

[Essex Johnson]

(12-11-2023, 11:22 PM)rfaulk34 Wrote: Did a little simulating and these are some things i came up with. I only predicted relevant games to the AFC playoffs. D = defeat.

https://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Week 14: Dolphins win
Week 15: Beng D Vikes, Colts D Steel, Lions D Broncs, Dolph D Jets, Tex D Tit, Browns D Bears, Chiefs D Pats, Cows D Bills, Jags D Ravens
Week 16: Beng D Steel, Bills D Charg, Tex D Browns, Colts D Falc, Jags D Bucs, Cows D Dolph, Broncs D Pats, Chiefs D Raid, 49ers D Ravens
Week 17: Browns D Jets, Rav D Dolph, Bills D Pats, Colts D Raid, Jags D Panth, Tex D Tit, Hawks D Steel, Beng D Chiefs, Bronc D Charg
Week 18: Rav D Steel, Beng D Browns, Colts D Tex, Chiefs D Charg, Raid D Bronc, Dolph D Bills, Jags D Tit, 

That makes the playoffs look like this.




If i go back to week 17 and change the Bengals v Chiefs to a loss, it knocks the Bengals out of the playoffs. 


If i also change the week 16 Colts v Falcons to a loss for the Colts, it looks like this. 



And if i change the Bengals v Chiefs back to a Bengals win and change the week 18 Broncos v Raiders to a Denver win, it goes back to the Miami #1 seed scenario above. 

There are so many scenarios, that i stopped changing outcomes to see what it would take for the 'Bengals to make it if' because there were so many changes by simply altering one game from above, in any given week. It's gonna be an insane ending to the season...

And just think, Miami lost.. every week there are upsets, that is the key play at a steady level every game.. realistic is best we do is 3-1 or 2-2....still could get it 3-1 but 2-2 with tiebreakers we are dead in the water