ESPN Playoff Simulator

[*rfaulk34*]

(12-12-2023, 11:50 PM)Essex Johnson Wrote: I ran mine using Pro Football Network it came out with how i predicted  with using a simulator based on the playoff criteria

Division Champs 1 Ravens 12-5  2 KC 11-6 3 Jags 11-6  4 Bills 11-6

5 Browns 11-6  6 Colts 11-6   7 Dolphins 11-6,

Bengals and Broncos out at 11-6.

Here is where the Bengals get hurt, not sure if division placement matters but they are 3rd in their division, all other WC are 2nd in their division. The big criteria that gets them is conference record, since head to head is going to be thrown out since no team has defeated all the other 4 teams at 11-6, then then it goes  to conference record, the best Bengals can do is 6-6,every team including Denver will have 7 or more conference wins so Bengals would finish 9th.

Now honest opinion , no way do i see that many teams at 11-6 but we been saying midway through season if Bengals tie with multiple teams for WC most likely with their bad division record they will lose out and even if they go 4-0 that plays out.  My belief if they go 11-6 they will be in, I don;t see Bills and Denver winning 11 so we would get in.

Yeah, there's no way that four currently 7-6 teams are winning out and having two 11 win teams miss out. 

Simply put, there are scenarios where the Bengals can go 3-1 and still get in, mostly if Denver stumbles. If the Bengals go 4-0, there's no realistic way they don't make it.

But it's going to change so much for the next 2 weeks, we won't get a less muddied picture until week 17