How important is a TE

[Whatever]

(01-31-2024, 12:13 PM)Nicomo Cosca Wrote: I’d say it already gets kind of dicey at 18.

https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/ask/18-nfl-overall-draft-picks

The draft is a dicey proposition, period.

I read an article the other day regarding the draft and it was quite eye opening.  80% of 1st round picks play through their rookie deals and get a second contract someplace.  That sounds great until you consider that guys that don't live up to their status and get "prove it" deals with another team, like John Ross and Cedric Ogbuehi types, are included in that.  Even scarier is the fact that 1 in 5 1st round picks don't even make it through their rookie deals(or get extended before it expires).  And that % drops steeply round after round.  

That's why you draft BPA(within reason) and don't go into the draft "needing" to draft a certain position.  Your chances of drafting a Day 1 quality starter at a specific position is ridiculously low.