01-31-2024, 01:53 PM
(01-31-2024, 01:26 PM)Whatever Wrote: The draft is a dicey proposition, period.
I read an article the other day regarding the draft and it was quite eye opening. 80% of 1st round picks play through their rookie deals and get a second contract someplace else. That sounds great until you consider that guys that don't live up to their status and get "prove it" deals with another team, like John Ross and Cedric Ogbuehi types, are included in that. Even scarier is the fact that 1 in 5 1st round picks don't even make it through their rookie deals(or get extended before it expires). And that % drops steeply round after round.
That's why you draft BPA(within reason) and don't go into the draft "needing" to draft a certain position. Your chances of drafting a Day 1 quality starter at a specific position is ridiculously low.
Informative. Thank you.
In this year's case, the Bengals have quite a few positions that could be improved and for which quite a few quality players seem to be available, so I would expect the Bengals will find a solid player at a position of need. There are quite a number of good OL (including a couple of very good RT prospects), some tantalizing edge rushers likely available at 18, a couple of solid DTs, a few TEs, and, of course, WRs. There are bound to be some excellent players available at some of those positions of need.
The challenge, of course, will be which positions to target for free agency before the draft, and which ones leave to the draft to address. That is the problem when you're picking at 18 and don't know where the run will be. Glad it's not my problem.
