Bengals say willing to trade Higgins for right offer,

[*ochocincos*]

(03-29-2024, 03:31 PM)Bengalbug Wrote: I’m glad you pointed out the 4 receivers picked after 18 that were successful, there were others like nacua, but I get your point.  You didn’t mention JSN, Quinton Johnson, John mingo  or the other 26 wide receivers we mentioned that got drafted last year (total of 33).  

Including rookie tight ends 13 pass catchers got to 500 yards.  So if we remove tight ends as part of the 33 receivers about 33% had good to great production.  The round they were draft is almost irrelevant.  If you want to replace tee with a rookie, you might need to draft 3.

You say 33% as if it's just shooting in a barrel hoping you hit one.
It is (or should be) more calculated and deliberate than that.
Teams don't just randomly pick a guy and hope he pans out.
They evaluate players and pick ones they are highly confident will be(come) a good player.
If it was just pull and pray, we would be saying, for example, take any OT at 18. But we are identifying specific ones because we each have identified someone we think has more success to become something compared to others.

Not every draft pick nor FA has a guarantee to pan out.
It's up to the scouting department, FO, and coaches to identify good players to bring in that will work.