07-31-2024, 01:40 PM
(07-31-2024, 12:26 PM)ochocincos Wrote: So if Brown quadruples his touches, he could be on pace potentially for around 1200 yards from scrimmage.
Never really works like that, Ocho.
Same way when BJ Hill was re-signed to be the starter in 2022 folks said he'd play almost double the snaps, so with his stats almost doubled he would be more productive than Ogunjobi was in 2021. Or how Dunlap's second highest sack total in a season is still his part-time rookie season despite barely playing any snaps. Or how Mixon had 4 years with more snaps than his best year (2018) yet it was his 2nd most yards he ever got, with the only season beating it being just 55 more scrimmage yards in 102 snaps/54 touches more. Tee Higgins' highest yardage season is his second least number of snaps played season.
Chase Brown got a carry or target on 59 of his 93 snaps, or 63.4%. That is a percentage that simply won't be possible if you quadruple the snap count. For comparison, Mixon last year was at 42.7% of his snaps having him get a carry or target and Giovani Bernard's rookie year was 39.3%. If you play more, you have to do things other than touching the ball more as well.
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