Reds August Game Thread 2024

[*TheLeonardLeap*]

(08-05-2024, 04:12 PM)ochocincos Wrote: McLain has been out all year. Batted .290 avg and .864 OPS last year. Having India doing well this year helps alleviate the blow, but it's still a regression nonetheless.
CES batted .270 avg and .905 OPS last year. Reds ain't gettin that level from their 1B guys this year.
Marte batted .316 avg and .822 OPS last year. 3B nowhere close to that this year. I know he was suspended half the year, but still.
Steer went from .271 avg and .820 OPS last year to .231-.733 this year.
Friedl's been hurt at times this year but he also has gone from .279-.819 last year to .213-.667 this year.
Fraley's BA is higher than last year but OPS is lower.\
New acquisition Candelario is having a worse year this year compared to last year (.251-.807 last year vs .227-.724 this year).

About the only two dudes doing better than last year are Stephenson and EDLC.

Steer, Benson, Friedl, Fraley were all guys who were never top-100 prospects that in their age 25 or older seasons had a single career year after being average or worse prior. That's about as big of a red flag for regression as it gets. I will admit I didn't expect all 4, but you shouldn't be too shocked if 2 or 3 of the 4 did.

Marte simply had to get off the PEDs. Dee Gordon went from a 116 OPS+ on PEDs, got suspended and had an 86 OPS+ over the next three years.

Candelario is pretty darn close to his career numbers. He is a career 102 OPS+ hitter, and this year he has a 97 OPS+, with the small drop easily explained by him being in his age 30 season now. Mike Moustakas 2.0.

McLain being hurt is a shame.
CES we can only hope his 241 PA in 2023 are the real him and not his 123 PA in 2024. Neither is a large sample size and they're very opposite in results.

Three dudes, you forgot India who was 99 OPS+ last year and 113 OPS+ this year.


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Also worth noting that batting is just down league-wide this year.

.248/.320/.414 (.734 OPS) in 2023
.243/.313/.400 (.712 OPS) in 2024

.022 OPS drop for all MLB