Reds August Game Thread 2024

[*bengalfan74*]

(08-07-2024, 02:56 PM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: A lot of advanced metrics are interesting and/or useful. That said any advanced metric that tries to tell me that a person can be on pace for 30 errors and be an elite defender is one I am just simply going to be automatically extremely skeptical of. That's up there with the folks back in 2011 talking about how Homer Bailey's xFIP of 3.77 was better than Johnny Cueto's xFIP of 3.90... even though Bailey had an ERA of 4.43 and averaged 6.0 innings per start and Cueto had an ERA of 2.31 and averaged ~6.2 innings per start. (This year Cruz has a 2.89 xFIP, Lodolo has a 3.83 xFIP, and Greene has a 4.12 xFIP... oh and Ashcraft and Montas both have a better one than Abbott, so you can't just take any metrics as straight gospel on their own, lol.)

Looking at other defensive advanced metrics EDLC ranks among 42 SS with at least 200 innings this year...
-6 Defensive Runs Saved (38th)
-1.8 Double Play Runs Above Average (41st)
-0.9 Range Runs Above Average (34th)
-2.3 Error Runs Above Average (37th)
-4.9 Ultimate Zone Rating (41st)
-8.1 UZR/150 (34th)

If a guy is leading MLB in errors, is on pace for 30 of them, and 6 other metrics back it up, common sense seems to be to ignore the other 2 that are saying he's elite.

Elly needs to be moved to RF, CF, or 3B and in my mind in that order.