Bets For This Season?!

[BFritz21]

(08-12-2024, 12:06 AM)Bengalbug Wrote: Not bengals…

Derrick Henry rushing yards and TDs.

950.5 and 10.5 respectively.

That works out to 56 yards/game and .62 tds/game.
If Henry averages 4.2 yards/carry, which he did last year in a worse spot, he only needs 13.3 carries/game.  Derrick Henry has only one season below that, 932 yards, over the last 6 years (since he became a starter).  He only played 8 games.  That’s also the only season he wouldn’t have hit his TD prop, but he still hit 10.

Gus Edward’s fell into the end zone 13 times last year.

Sure, Henry is old.  Sure, ravens lost some o-line, but these are borderline disrespectful for a generational RB.  

I’m seeing a very good year for Henry in that offense, 280 carries, 1,250 yards and somewhere around 15+ TDs.

This would be around a 4.5 YPC, and almost a TD a game.  But that’s about what he did on a horrible offense, and now he is going to be with “arguably” the best rushing QB all time and an offense that will have more red zone possessions.

That does sound like a pretty safe bet!

Thanks!

(08-12-2024, 12:13 AM)RegularGuy22 Wrote: I'd bet the Bengals struggle in their own division again, injuries will hurt them again, they already are, they won't have a running game and continue to try the screen pass to whoever that loses yards like the last few years. The defense will play safe zone and give up big plays again all over the field. The lack of run game will haunt and force Zac and Burrow to throw 40 passes a game. Opposing D's will pin their ears back and stampede Joe once they see we can't run on them. This is all with Chase playing. Haven't really changed much, new OC likely running the same plays, new RB1, Stone and Bell in the D, same Oline, same coaches. Looking like another 9-8 maybe 10-7 season to me without a MAJOR injury.

Are you high?!  

Have you not seen how much healthier is and how he has been taking snaps under center? That will improve the run game by a great deal, and so will the line being better.

The run blocking didn't look great in preseason, but they'll get it figured out, especially once the defense realizes they can't keep too many defenders in the box because of the general Burrow threat.