08-14-2024, 10:31 AM
(08-14-2024, 09:42 AM)CJD Wrote: Hunter Greene's season rankings among pitchers in various traditional statistics:
ERA: 2.83 (5th in MLB, 3rdin NL)
IP: 144.2 (11th in MLB, 5th in NL )
Strikeouts: 162 (7th in MLB, 4th in NL)
WAR: 5.3 (2nd in MLB, 1st in NL)
WHIP: 1.02 (9th in MLB, 5th in NL)
BAA: .185 (3rd in MLB, 1st in NL)
Per Statcast:
xERA is 2.95, which is 89th percentile.
xBAA is .189, which is 97th percentile.
95th percentile in fastball speed (97.6 mph)
89th percentile in barrel%
87th percentile in hard hit%
I don't know if Skenes will continue to cruise through the season and win the NL Cy Young but, if the people who select these things think that his ~10 fewer starts relative to every other NL pitcher in contention is a deal breaker, Hunter Greene has got to be a top 2 nominee for NL Cy Young right now.
Skenes might be fading a bit.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/mlb/pittsburgh-pirates-paul-skenes-continues-worrisome-trend-in-latest-loss/ar-AA1oBQC3
Greene is still 3rd/4th behind Sale and Wheeler, but potentially behind or ahead of Skenes (Reynaldo Lopez being on the IL helps as he still has a 2.06 ERA, but is going to fall behind further in IP). One of the big problems with WAR is everyone calculates it differently. On Fangraphs he's 4th at 3.7 instead of 5.3, which just keeps showing why I pay less and less attention to WAR unless it's to note that a guy has a negative one.
The odds makers currently have it... Sale, Wheeler, Skenes, Greene.
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