08-14-2024, 04:06 PM
(08-14-2024, 10:56 AM)CJD Wrote: I'm curious how those WAR numbers can be so far apart haha. Oh well. Even if Greene doesn't win the Cy Young, this has been an outstanding breakout season and it seems like this is sustainable development. This article gives a good idea of what changed from 2023 to 2024. It has a lot to do with his splitter, which looks almost identical to his fastball out of his hand (same spin angle, per the article), and it seems to have the same arm angle and arm speed, based on this overlay, but is over 10 mph slower (97.6 mph vs 87 mph) and has almost 50 inches of vertical difference (16.6" induced rise on the fastball vs 31.7" drop for the splitter) between them.
I imagine it is very difficult to distinguish between the two of them before it's too late.
I think he has a decent chance but it's kinda a long shot chance as well. Should the Reds get Red Hot and make the playoffs that will of course put him deeper in the conversation. Provided of course he stays as he has been the last several games.