08-14-2024, 05:45 PM
(08-14-2024, 04:03 PM)bengalfan74 Wrote: With 40 games left on a scale of 1-10 what do you think the Reds chances are? I'll say 4, trying to be optimistic.
There are currently 6 teams ahead of the Reds (59-61) in Wins. The NL west has two teams D'backs and Padres both with 68 wins, I highly doubt the Reds can surpass them barring a major flop. So that leaves one spot open between the Reds, Giants, Cards, and Braves and Mets. And that's not counting the Cubs. 5/6 teams and 1 spot.
A lot has to go right for the Reds down the stretch to have any chance. Greene, Lodolo, and Abbott have to have like 10 wins between them and Martinez needs to add a win or two. The bullpen has to not collapse. And the big one - the offense can't fall flat on it's face again for a 10 game stretch.
We've got some stiff competition ahead with series' vs. the Royals, Brewers, Astros, Mets, Braves, Twins, and Cleveland. So they've got to be on point from here on out. And they pretty much have to sweep or at a minimum win the series against the bad/average teams.
Here's to hoping they get HOT now.
In other words they have to get better in every facet of the game beyond that which they have shown up to this point. Unlikely. They are what they are.
Their biggest problem is pitching. Their bullpen blows and in this day and age, bullpens are critical to success. They have 1-2 over achieving starting pitchers and an inconsistent offense. While I believe the future is bright, this is not their year.
My answer is 2.