Welcome Jermaine Burton!

[Luvnit2]

(09-01-2024, 09:29 AM)samhain Wrote: Guys with reputations like this are unpredictable.  A player like Burton, who we hear getting labeled a "first round talent" tend to clean up their act at least until they have some success on the field.  Think Odell and Chris Henry.  We thought we had genuine steals on our hands until we didn't.  Burfict was another kind of problem, but he was doing and saying all the right things right up until he got out of the doghouse and into coaches and fans good graces.  

It's kind of a red flag that they're still feeling the need to teach Burton a lesson by dropping him to the bottom of the depth chart.  This team may not need a stud receiver to step in immediately, but they have a history of being fine with starting talented rookies at the position from day 1.  

It may be a lack of need or it may be an attempt to give guys like Jones and Iosivas a chance first.  I hope it is.  If not, then Burton doesn't even have the sense to hide his immaturity/lack of professionalism until he's established on the team.  

Again,  first round talents don't drop to the third for no reason.

Teams make poor draft decisions in rounds 1, 2 and 3. But it is easy to make a great decision based on the data, it just does not pan out. Here is an article I found interesting; it has a chart showing the average games played on average for each round of the draft.

How many career games NFL draft picks play, on average, by position | NCAA.com

Round Avg. Reg. Season Games Reg. Seasons' Worth of Games

1 62.3         3.7
2 56.3         3.3
3 48.1         2.8
4 44.4         2.6
5 40.5         2.4
6 32.5         1.9
7 28.1         1.7

As you can see by the chart, the average player drafted in round 1 played only 3.7 seasons worth of games. Each round drops all the way to 1.7 seasons for round 7. Round 3 picks where Burton was chosen only average 2.8 or less than 3 years in the NFL.

The odds of hitting a great player in the 3rd round are not good.

Some is injury, but the reality is the NFL draft is a crap shoot, even with number 1 picks.