10-02-2024, 11:51 AM
(10-01-2024, 12:15 PM)SunsetBengal Wrote: I look for Henry to show a little fatigue in this game. In the past two weeks he's had 49 carries for around 350 yards. To make up for a reduced production game from Henry, I anticipate Jackson relying on passing to the TEs to draw the safeties in and allow him a couple 1 on 1 deep shots to Flowers. For any shot of winning, the Bengals will need to somehow jump out to a two score lead and put a little panic into Jackson and the Ravens offense, as that is when they are most apt to make an unforced error.
There may be something to this. If you look at last year, in games where he ran for 19 times or more his average yards per carry dropped by almost two yards on average the following week. Obviously that didn't happen this year from week 3 to week 4, but if you remove his one 87 yard run that was essentially perfectly blocked you will see it did degrade from the previous week to last week by about 1.2 yards per carry.
