10-10-2024, 03:45 PM
(10-10-2024, 03:34 PM)jj22 Wrote: Dalton was in the MVP conversation going into week 6 of 2015. Burrow is not.
But I agree Burrow is having the better season.
Well...kind of, and yes, Burrow is...kind of. This 2015 Dalton line has almost grown into a myth at this point. Dalton was never a serious MVP contender but he was listed in some conversations. Here is a link talking about Dalton being a top three candidate and was given 18/1 odds by Bovada to bring home the hardware. In American odds, that is +1800. As it stands currently, Burrow has +2200 odds, or 22/1 odds. These are giving you roughly the same probability of winning the award. At +1800, the implied probability is 5.5% that Dalton was going to win. At +2200, the implied probability for Burrow is 4.3%. It's a negligible difference. Dalton was never seriously in the conversation and Burrow currently isn't, either.
