Yesterday, 07:37 PM
(Yesterday, 07:22 PM)Ell Prez Wrote: One thing to note when looking at playoff % chances. It doesn’t calculate probability but it calculates chance. Meaning, it doesn’t factor what’s likely to happen. Before today we needed 4 things to happen, we need to win 3x, Miami needs to lose any 1 game, colts lose any 1 game, Denver lose out. The probability of that happening is extremely low. The chance of each individual thing happening is 50%. So take the 0.5 x 4 and you get kit 6% chance. because we need 4 things to happen and all them are 50/50 outcome: yes or no.
As more of those 4 measurements begin to happen, our chances will only increase slightly, but I think the probability will increase even more so. To me our biggest challenges in order are: winning vs Denver, winning vs Pitt, indi L, mia L.
If after next week we win, Mia has 1 L and Ind has 1 L, our play off chances are 25%. I would personally guess our probability is probably closer to 50%.
Just some fun nerd math for a Sunday evening.
Good stuff, I honestly don't see everything falling in place for it to happen, but it is fun to still be in the hunt this time of year after
having such a terrible season Defensively. I thought Jerome Ford was going to run all over us and he pretty much did, but the Defense
only allowed one TD which isn't that bad even if the Browns Offense sucks.
Burrow is now only 1 TD away from 40 and Ja'Marr still has the triple crown in sight.
