Bengals Win Out + Broncos & Colts go 2-3, Dolphins go 3-2 & WE'RE IN!!!

[Nicomo Cosca]

(Yesterday, 09:22 PM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: I agree with your point, but I will say the whole "success rates" have never really made me buy into them. 

I think the rules have changed enough that I don't think 4 yards on 1st down is as much of a "success" as it once was. Three decades ago the average QB Completion% was 58.0%... now it's 65.2% and there's multiple guys >67% who aren't even top-10. The average QB Rating then was 78.4 and now it's 91.7.

There's so many quick high % passes now without so many man CBs jamming at the LoS and instead playing well off that I don't know if trading 4 yards for a down on 1st and 10 is all that successful anymore.

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Made even weirder by WRs "success %" being the exact same as RBs, so if they get 2 catches for 4 yards each on 1st and 2nd down, that's two successes... but you just threw it twice and got 8 yards.

It’s still useful when comparing a player to his own peers. Chase Brown is currently at 52.2% for example. Zach Moss was MUCH worse in the same offense.