01-04-2025, 05:22 PM
(01-04-2025, 02:40 PM)Isaac Curtis: The Real #85 Wrote: On BJ, and why I kind of like him at a moderate price.The reason why Williams p!ays less than BJ Hill is because Jalen Carter is a near elite 3T while BJ has no one else on the roster near his current level. Milton would be getting more snaps than BJ if he was here.
1) We know what we are getting. PFF grades him out as the 31st rated DT out of 218 at 69.0. 24/218 vs the run at 67.7. 64.0 vs the pass, 70/218.
Slightly above average in pass rush, significantly so vs the run.
2) He is well above median vs the pass and top 20% vs the run. That is a good player, if not a great one.
Many of the other top guys on that list are better in one area (pass rush, usually) but porous versus the run.
3) I don't like paying big money for a guy who is only good in one phase.
Milton Williams: 69.7 overall, 90.6 pass rush (2nd), but 41.9 vs the run (175th). Now, I love that pash rush grade, but he seems like more of a rotational pass rush specialist. If I has a STUD run defender to pair him with? Say, DJ Reader? Maybe I pay him. But $15 mil is too rich for a guy who is horrendous in the run game.
Maybe if we had more money to burn. I know we need interior pass rush, especially on 3rd down.
There is a reason Williams has taken only 485 snaps, to Hill's 657.
4) BJ can pair effectively with a pass rush first guy or a run defense 1st guy.
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Don't get me wrong, Williams would be a huge get. But he is kind of like OBJ/Karras. Really good pass grade & very poor in the run game.
If I am gonna pay an Eagle $17 mil, I'd rather it be Sweat at DE (75.7 overall, 71.5 pass, 69.3 run). and we just draft Grant/Nolen/Harmon.
It is a close call between guys who are excelllent is one aspect and poor in another vs guys who are above average in both.
I like Hilton a lot. Like Williams he is awesome in one aspect (run D) and less awesome in another. But Hilton is still average+ in coverage. And I certainly don't want to pay him $15 million.
Then again, wouldn't pay BJ $15 mil either.
Calais Campbell makes $2 mil. That's a call I'd make. Even if it is only for a year.