02-27-2025, 03:57 PM
(02-27-2025, 03:43 PM)Au165 Wrote: Outliers are cool, but you usually play to the statistical likely outcomes. There was just a bunch of data on pass rushers that kind of shows this massive drop, almost similar to HB's, after age 30. Everyone was referencing it when talking about Myles Garrett but it applies to Trey as well.
Like Vonn Miller had 14 sacks as a 29 year old then has never had 10 sacks ever again. Khalil Mack had 9 sacks at 29 and has only had that many 1 time in the four season since (That said it was like 17 he went nuts). Going back to JJ Watt, he had 16 sacks at 29 then only broke 5 sacks 1 time in the next four seasons. These are just some examples but they looked at all pass rushers and their production basically from 30 onward and it's a STEEP drop. Some of this is obviously tied to injuries, but that was another point is that the rate of injuries sky rockets at 30.
Data doesn't lie and as someone who is in their early 30's the health issues start cropping up. Not that I have world class nutrition and money to throw around
I think we should move on from Trey if he's looking to make serious bank.
