"...but at least it'll be fun to watch"

[Luvnit2]

(03-18-2025, 05:20 PM)bengalfan74 Wrote: Where did I say our 2024 draft was so bad??

However the 2024 class shakes out we've still had many misses in the top rounds lately and picks that sure seem headed down miss lane.

2021 Rd 2 Carman - gone, Rd 3 Ossai - hasn't been picked back up

2022 Rd 1 Dax Hill still big question mark Rd 2 Taylor - Britt ummmmm  Rd 3 Z. Carter - gone

2023 Rd 1 Murphy - I'm praying not but he is shaping up hard as a bust. Rd 2 DJ turner ??? Rd 3 Jordan Battle ???

2024 Rd 3 Burton is the poster child for sure seems a big bust. As you say

I remember hearing an announcer saying during a fairly early in the season game, and I forget who he named but several of our top (recent) picks only had like 12 snaps or something! And this was like game 4 or so.

That's nine top draft picks that are either already gone, may well be cut this season or need semi major to very major turn arounds or they're busts.

Their batting average needs a really hot month at the plate to get this thing headed back in the right direction.

Fair enough, but if  Bengals hit on guys in rounds 4 or later, do they credit since those picks have a poor success rate on being good in the NFL?

This study was done back in 2015 and tracked prior year rookies and then took a look at success rates by round of draftees.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/prishe/2015/05/22/tracking-nfl-draft-efficiency-how-contingent-is-success-to-draft-position/


         The overall median “percentage of games started” by those players selected in the 2010 NFL Draft is 15%;


-          1st round draftees from that season started a higher median percentage of games (67.5%) compared to players drafted in other rounds;


-          2nd and 3rd round draftees from 2010 have started roughly 34% and 36% of all possible games, respectively.


-          The median percentage of games started for players drafted in rounds 4 through 7 from the 2010 draft was extremely low, never rising above 7% of games played over the last 5 years.