02-19-2016, 01:01 AM
(02-18-2016, 12:48 PM)RoyleRedlegs Wrote: There is less risk.Crazy talk. If teams knew what they were getting 9 times out of 10 there wouldnt be so many free agent busts.
But the team doing the signing has to be smart too.
You know what you are getting 9/10 times you sign a FA.
You have proven NFL tape.
Now the big issues usually come when you sign a guy who was a 4-3 DE and try to make him a 3-4 OLB or DE.
Teams have to be smart and recognize how and why that player is succeeding and try to replicate that.
Signing Demarco Murray wasn't a bad decision by the Eagles.
Using Demarco Murray like they used LeSean McCoy was a bad decision.
Sure you get the occasional pay check hunter who packs it in. But most times you end up with FA "busts" because coaches and FO didn't do enough due diligence on how exactly that player would fit the team or system.
I think the biggest factor is that 2nd contract. Later round picks go from doing everything in their power to make hundreds of thousands on the first contract to having multi millions handed to them. It goes from do everything in your power to get paid to im rich *****. Psychology plays a really big role imo.
When i hear guys like doug martin talking about hitting the jackpot i have warning lights going off.
How often do guys have career years in contract years?
Then factor in the guys covering up and or playing through injury.
If we could just hit and get exactly what we thought we were getting 9/10 times we would be active. But its not even close to a 90% success rate.
