03-09-2016, 10:43 AM
(03-09-2016, 10:30 AM)fredtoast Wrote: 1.) When you look at all free agents it is clear that the big deals fail to work out much more often than they work out.
2.) Form '00 to '05 only EIGHT PERCENT of free agents that signed 5 year or longer contracts played out the full deal, and the average number of years played on a five year deal was LESS THAN THREE.
People claim that free agency is not as big of a gamble as the draft because "you know what you are getting". And while the success rate for free agents is probably better than the draft it is far from a sure thing and 3.) you are gambling with tens of millions of dollars with a free agent instead of hundreds of thousands with draft picks.
1.) Who is calling for big deals? Better, what exactly is consider a big deal nowadays? Obviously some guys are getting up to 90 mil on the open market. You see a lot of contracts with the guarantees set at 40 mil and up.
So is a 30 million dollar deal still a big deal? What about 20? 15? .....
I think a lot of people are calling for deals that help this roster/put us over the hump. And I think more often that not, the players being mentioned are costing a fraction of what actually constitutes a big signing.
2.) What about from '05-16? And how does this compare to other 5 year deals? What percentage of in house 5 year deals seen to their conclusion? (I'm guessing a low percentage) What percentage of free agent deals are inked at 5 years and up?
I'm not sure how this is relevant to wanting outside help, without more context.
3.) Again, who is calling for us to spend tens of millions of dollars on a single signing? And aren't all deals a gamble?
Pretending like an outside Free Agent is that much more a gamble than an in-house Free Agent seems dishonest. They're all a gamble. Whenever you commit to spending there's a risk involved. The more money, the greater the risk.
Adding help to your roster doesn't automatically mean you need to hand out 5 year 60 million dollar deals. And shelling out 20 million for a free agent is the same risk whether they've worn stripes before or not. It's not like players outside the city are more injury prone, or more likely to bust/decline.
