03-16-2016, 02:50 PM
(03-15-2016, 04:25 PM)PDub80 Wrote: NEWS FLASH to guys thinking DT in the first: The DT position is so deep in this years draft that guys who would be 1st round talents in any other draft are projected to be there in the 4th round.
Out of the 18 highest rated Dlineman in the 2016 draft, 12 of them are DT/NT. The highest rated D lineman is a 7.2 the rest of the top 18 prospects go from a 6.8 (the highest a DT is is 6.5) to 5.8. Most of which are only separated by 0.1 to 0.2 of a grade http://www.nfl.com/draft/2016/tracker?icampaign=draft-sub_nav_bar-drafteventpage-tracker#dt-tabs:dt-by-position/dt-by-position-input:dl
What does this mean???: It means that if the Bengals go DT in round 1 they will be buying that commodity wayyyyy too early because they can get virtually the same grade of prospect much much later, while killing themselves at positions of actual immediate need in areas where the draft is weaker.
- WR & CB this year has a much more rapid drop off, meaning that talent is at a premium at that position in the 2016 draft. What would be smart for the Bengals to do would be to take a 6.0/5.9 WR (Corey Coleman, for example) or 6.0/5.9 CB (Eli Apple, for example) in the first, and then look to a less pressing need (LB) in the 2nd and still get a 6.0/5.7 type prospect (Fackrell, Jenkins, or Lee).
Then in the 3rd round grab a DT prospect. They will STILL be getting a prospect rating 5.8-6.2 - basically very little difference between that 3rd rounder and a 1st in terms of grade. There is absolutely no question that in 2016 that type of talent will be there in the 3rd or even 4th!
Going this route would give the Bengals premium talent at each of their first 3 picks and allowing them to have the highest average talent possible (going by NFL.com) all while filling needs for depth.
- Obviously, if a guy falls and he is THAT much better you have to take him, regardless of position, but I don't think that matters at DT this year
The best players in the draft are DTs so the BPA will be a DT. BOOM BENGAL LOGIC.
