03-19-2016, 06:31 PM
(03-19-2016, 05:16 PM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: Yeah, I don't think it'll happen either, but I am not willing to say it won't happen. Brady has been known to be okay with targeting the hell out of one person. (Moss 23 TD in '07, Gronk 17 TD in '11) So sure if we're talking average, but that average could be completely messed up by a single monster season. That's why I am not willing to guarantee it won't happen.
Well even I wouldn't guarantee it, that's why I've said all along that it's just not "likely". Outside of that 17 TD season for Gronk, he's had 10, 11, 4, 12 and 11 TDs, so the 17 number looks like the outlier.
And Gronk has led the team in TDs every year expect 2012, when Edelman led the Pats with 6 TDs. In short, a monster season in the TD department (around 17 scores or more) isn't likely either.
You add up all those things (Brady being 39 years old, Gronk's injury history, plus the slim odds of a monster TD season) and the odds look pretty dang small. Add in the fact that the Pats just made a big move in picking up Martellus Bennett, who will surely take some targets away from Gronk.
The training, nutrition, medicine, fitness, playbooks and rules evolve. The athlete does not.