03-19-2016, 08:25 PM
(03-19-2016, 07:24 PM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: Interesting thing is Gronk's 17 TD season came with Aaron Hernandez's best season/most playing time. So I am certainly not agree that Bennett will make Gronk worse. If anything, most pass catchers get better when there's someone to take at least a little bit of heat off of them.
As for the TD numbers, the 10, one of the 11s, and the 12 came in 11, 11, and 12 starts, respectively.
Impressively enough, in Gronk's 69 starts he has caught 59 TDs, or 0.855 TDs/start.
Compare that to his 6 TDs in the 11 games he played in that he didn't start, or 0.545 TDs/non-start.
So if (and this is the big if part) he starts all 16 games in a season, he should get between 13 and 14 TDs (13.68, specifically) at that rate.
(This is just me getting curious and doing the math/deciding to share it more than trying to argue any point.)
Fair enough. Gronk does score TD's at a high rate. It all comes down to his health and Brady defying time.
Fwiw, as good as Brady has been, I'll probably be avoiding him in fantasy from here on out. He has to fall off at some point.
The training, nutrition, medicine, fitness, playbooks and rules evolve. The athlete does not.
