07-21-2016, 11:27 PM
(07-21-2016, 01:21 AM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: Not saying he doesn't have the potential to possibly do it, but he will not likely get the opportunity. 1,400 yards at 5.0 YPC is 280 carries. Not sure he gets that many on a team that does a 2 RB approach and has both Green and Eifert.I think Gio is the change-of-pace and third down back, so I think Hill could get that many carries, especially because I don't think we'll be behind in too many games, which will have us playing ball control.
Basically Gio would have to suck, making him get less touches, and then Hill would have to be amazing over the entire season. Not sure it happens. Hill has had 222 carries and 223 carries in his two years.
Gio is a special player, but not the kind you want to give the ball to 20 to 30 times a game.
I understand that Zampese knows Dalton's strengths and will throw a lot, as well as finding ways to use Gio, but I also think he establishes a strong run game because he realizes how difficult that will make the offense to defend.
(07-21-2016, 06:06 PM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: First seven games of the season, he had a 3.9 YPC.He didn't start getting the majority of the carries until midseason, so it's hard to base it on a small sample size when he doesn't have a chance to get into a rhythm.
Never really said "man that Hill guy is really bad", but wasn't impressed by the pick. He's run for under 4.0 YPC for 3/4ths of his career.
My main concern is that possibly the 3/4ths is closer to what he really is and the other 1/4th was a 2012 BJGE-type situation... In 2012 BJGE had a 5 game stretch where he led the NFL in rushing yards, going for 543 yards on 106 carries (5.12 YPC). The rest of his career with the Bengals he went for 3.33 YPC.
(07-21-2016, 09:59 PM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: He was my keeper last year.
But yeah, I really do hope he comes out and destroys 2016. Would be great to have a top-5 type RB, would make things real easy on the passing game, too.
Drafted him first overall and still managed to win my league because I'm the greatest fantasy football manager in the history of brain injuries
I think he could destroy it this season, but I think he'll be on a very short leash, so one fumble, he gets benched, and you're screwed.
I could see him with at least 120 every game, and, even if he did get benched, I still think he comes in to vulture touchdowns, which would keep his value at a decent level.
I've seen drafts with him not going until the fifth round, but then this year doesn't seem to have many backs projected to go too high, so who knows. I think he'll be a steal that late.