08-22-2016, 08:44 PM
(08-22-2016, 07:20 PM)Bilbo Saggins Wrote: His stats do look pretty good at first blush. I had to do a double take because I watched a few Bills games last year and didn't remember him being that big of a factor.
Here were his average yards per carry by opponent:
MIA - 10.5 avg on 21 attempts
WAS - 10.2 avg on 4 attempts
IND - 9.2 avg on 6 attempts
DAL - 4.5 avg on 17 attempts
NYJ - 3.7 avg on 13 attempts
NE - 2.7 avg on 12 attempts
KC - 2.5 avg on 2 attempts
NYG - 2.2 avg on 18 attempts
HOU, CIN, JAX, PE, TEN - 0 yards on 0 attempts
Situatonally, Williams did best in games where his team led by 9-16 points with a 10.7 YPC average.
When rushing from behind that average dropped to a respectable 4.0 overall, but really took a nosedive to 1.1 YPC when behind by 9 or more points.
With the suspension, the conditioning, missing games last season, and a propensity to really rack up yards against poor defenses while wilting against good run defenses...I really don't think that he's quite as good as he looks on paper.
All of those are on sample sizes of less than 20 carries.
I can do that too.
Jeremy Hill when his team is behind by 9 or more rushes for 2.6 YPC.... of course once again, that's only a 23 carry sample size.
Aren't ridiculously small sample sizes fun?
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