Andy Dalton and the QBR Floor Theory

[*rfaulk34*]

(07-07-2015, 09:15 AM)fredtoast Wrote: Doesn't mean a lot to me

Luck produces his worst twice as often as Tannehill.

Russell Wilson produces his worst more than Ryan Fitzpatrick.

Tom Brady produces his worst more than Alex Smith or Jay Cutler.


So does this mean that Tannehill is twice as good as Luck, Fitz is better then Wilson, and Smith and Cutler are better than Brady?  I don't think so.

No. It just means that other QBs hit their "floor" at a much lower rate than Dalton does. Seriously, the only other QB equal to Dalton is Geno Smith. 

The thing to keep in mind; other mid-range QBs who hit their floor less than Dalton, but remain around Dalton in rating aren't doing as much, or don't have the ceiling, that Dalton does. He hits as many stinkers as he does and still remains (mostly) middle of the pack. As soon as he brings his floor up a bit, his overall rating rises and everyone in Bengaland is happy.