09-16-2016, 10:14 PM
(09-16-2016, 08:34 PM)rfaulk34 Wrote: It's easy. AJ Green, given his ypc and TD%--matching targets--would be more productive than Brown in those areas. Sanu's numbers--matching targets--would not give him an advantage over Green.
Targets matter when receivers produce at a higher percentage.
Something more relevant (IMO) would be looking at AB and AJs targets compared to team pass attempts. If you divide their targets by the team's total pass attempts, you'll know how often each receiver was targeted within each offense.
I think it's safe to say that AJ Green would get more targets in Pittsburgh than he does here, as Pittsburgh (without looking it up) probably passed around 100 more times than the Bengals did last year. That's 100 more "targets" to go around and it's safe to say that the majority of those would go to a #1 WR.
That's why I think overall target % would be telling. AJ is probably targeted at a similar % overall, but the Bengals pass less. I do know one thing though. AB didn't catch 136 passes simply because Ben has a strong arm.
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