Mccarron

[*SHRacerX*]

(01-03-2017, 10:47 AM)Au165 Wrote: The reason you won't get what you want is teams over value draft picks. The contract is a detriment because if you trade him to a bad team he could flat out refuse to resign. They could franchise him, but are you going to pay him 20+ for the franchise or maybe you need it for someone else? Waiting for a compensatory pick is a losing strategy, we have "played for the comp pick" in the past and it hasn't worked well as of late. Maybe after the draft evaluation process the QB class sours and you can get a 2nd this year, but who knows sometimes guys emerge in that process i.e. become over hyped.

Waiting for a compensatory pick is not a losing strategy.  The Bengals have 11 draft picks in the upcoming draft.  You can bet that many of them won't make the team and wouldn't survive on the practice squad.

A compensatory pick in 2019 isn't the worst thing in the world if it ends up being a 3rd rounder.

As far as teams over valuing draft picks, I don't think there is ANY team that needs a QB that won't likely be using a first round pick on one of them.  If you could get a QB like AJM for a second round pick, where they don't get the 5th year at the cheap rookie contract like a first rounder I would think a lot of teams would be interested.  

If he refused to sign after the season, he would have to get a really good offer elsewhere which would, as a QB, almost certainly end up being a 3rd round pick (compensatory).  

So, say the Browns trade one of their 2nd rounders to the Bengals for AJM, and he wants to leave after one year, the Browns would likely get a 3rd round compensatory pick, which can now be traded, the following year.  

That is kind of "hedging your bet" if they don't work out.  

Again, I would not let him go for anything less than a second rounder.