05-28-2017, 01:06 PM
(05-28-2017, 12:36 PM)grampahol Wrote: I'm much more interested in actual scoring plays than just yards.
Suppose, just for the sake of argument player x plays 16 games and in each game they start on the 1 yardline and x catches 1 98 yard reception each game and in each of those catches they have to settle for a fg..
Well, they would have only caught 16 passes for 1568 yards, 0 points on the board minus the 3 for the fg.
Now, player Y catches 40 10 yard passes, but scores 15 TDs..
Who's the bigger star there? The guy who crosses the goal line obviously..
That's an extreme exaggeration obviously, but someone has to catch and someone hopefully has to score points. The guy who gets to dance in the end zone gets all the glory.
Life just ain't fair now is it?
This is probably much more representative of how the team would perform is their scoring measures. That being said, the TDs per player are very difficult to predict.
I was using the yardage prediction as a measure just because I see such a tremendous difference in Andy's targets this year as compared to last. Sure, injuries had a lot to do with that, but I see so much depth and talent on the field that I can't imagine him not taking a significant leap over last season, which was a pretty solid 4,200 yards and only 7 INTs.