11-02-2017, 03:05 AM
(11-01-2017, 07:12 PM)pally Wrote: He will be either a restricted or unrestricted free agent depending on the outcome of an arbitration over his first year when he was placed on NFI list. Either way, no trade unless we sign him first.
The NFL Players Association is fighting to change McCarrons status from Restricted Free Agent to Unrestricted Free Agent. Bengals claim McCarrons rookie year he spent most of it on the injured list and should only have 3 years with Bengals. Players Association points out this means he spent some time not on injured list his rookie year and McCarron should be in his 4th season as a Bengal.
If Players Association wins. McCarron is an unrestricted free agent at the end of this season, meaning the Bengals have no contract to him at all. It will be a big pay day for McCarron as teams go after him in Free Agency this off season. McCarron is just gone and Bengals get nothing. The Bengals Franchise Tag of McCarron becomes too risky. QB is the most expensive Franchise Tag in NFL. The Franchise Tag on McCarron would cost the Bengals 20 million dollars. They also have to pay Dalton. They also have to rebuild at other positions. Do NOT expect Bengals to get anywhere near a 20 Million Dollar Franchise Tag of McCarron. It's too risky....No, if McCarron is ruled an unrestricted free agent, just consider the mid round pick gone and not much was spent on drafting him and nothing gained in losing him.
Now if NFL keeps McCarron as a restricted free agent as he is now and the Players Association loses, the Bengals can place a first round tender on him, or a second round tender or an original round tender. Now a 1st round tender would cost the Bengals 4 million dollars. The problem is what if no team is willing to give the Bengals a 1st round pick for McCarron. Now the Bengals are getting back into more money for McCarron in 2018 than they can go. ....Then there is a second round tender of 3 million dollars and this is what I think Bengals do. Very good chance a team gives up a 2nd round pick to Bengals for McCarron and Bengals put their 3 million right back into the bank. ..One last option is an original tender at 2 million. For this a team gets McCarron for his original draft spot, which was a 5th round pick I believe. A 5th round pick isn't very much considering Browns just blew our trade for a 2nd and 3rd round pick. ...So I see the middle choice of a 2nd round tender as the smart move. Going for a 1st round tender is too greedy and maybe no teams offer a 1st round pick and Bengals get zonked picking the wrong door on Lets Make A Deal. The 2nd Round tender at 3 million sounds fool proof. A team like the Browns will give up a 2nd round pick and Bengals keep there 3 million. Bengals still get a 2nd round pick, which isn't bad.
So that's how I see it if McCarron stays an unrestricted free agent. Bengals should not go greedy on 1st round tender or cheap on 5th round tender...If Bengals go 3 Million on 2nd round tender we already know Cleveland and other teams swoop in and give Bengals a 2nd round pick for McCarron. Bengals put their 3 million back in the bank. They don't get yesterdays trade for a 2nd and 3rd round pick, but what the heck, they still get a 2nd round pick. If they till get Browns 2nd round pick at start of round 2, that is like a 1st round pick. Pick 33 in the draft....Browns have already shown their poker hand that they will trade a 2nd round for McCarron. ...THIS IS THE MOVE....!st round tender is risky, no team may offer a 1st round. 5th round tender is too cheap. The 2nd round tender is just right. We can still get a 2nd round pick for McCarron.
Again, in Players Association wins Bengals get nothing for McCarron. If McCarron stays on restricted status, The Bengals would be wise to go 2nd round tender on him. Not 1st round tender, that's playing it too greedy and we might not get a 1st round offer. A 2nd round tender is a sure thing and we will get that 2nd round pick after all, probably Browns pick 33 which to me is like a 1st round pick when you draft # 1 in 2nd round. You got to do a little Poker Playing here. Browns just offered this pick. We can get it with a second round tender. Now if we go 1st round tender there may not be any teams willing to give up a 1st round. We know we can get this top pick 2nd round, we just saw the poker cards. Mike Brown doesn't want to pay a 20 million franchise tag or a 4 million tender to McCarron, but he can make a 2nd round tender offer at a 3 million, get his top round 2 pick, and put his 3 million back in his bank account, and THAT is what Mike Brown should do and probably will do. It's just dollars and cents and sense. In fact, since they've talked to the Browns on a trade, I see no collusion in a follow up call about the trade and the NFL, and maybe talking another way for Bengals and Browns to meet around the barn on this in February or March. The NFL stopped it for now, but there's more than one way to skin a cat.
1968 Bengal Fan
