01-12-2018, 03:55 PM
(01-12-2018, 01:40 PM)fredtoast Wrote: Okay, here is a more detailed analysis.
There have only been 2 O-linemen draft in the 4th round or later over the last 7 years who have made the Pro Bowl.
Here is the yearly break down of the number of O-linemen drafted in the fourth round or later who were starters (starter = more than 8 starts) for more than one season and started at least 32 games.
2011...5
2012...3
2013...3
2014...7
2015...3
2016...0 (5 players have started at least 8 games in a single year, but only one has more than 16 starts in 2 years)
2017...0 (no players with more than 8 starts in their rookie season)
So in 7 years I would say there have been a total of 21 O-linemen drafted after the fourth round who became legit "starters", and the Bengals have two of them. There may still be a couple from the '16 and '17 draft who will meet the criteria, but it looks like on average there are about 3 each year or less than 10% of the 32 NFL teams.
https://www.pro-football-reference.com/play-index/draft-finder.cgi?request=1&year_min=2011&year_max=2017&draft_round_min=4&draft_slot_min=1&draft_slot_max=500&pick_type=overall&pos%5B%5D=t&pos%5B%5D=g&pos%5B%5D=c&pos%5B%5D=ol&conference=any&show=all&order_by=gs
Here is the problem with this: Six time Pro Bowler, two All Pro Geno Atkins would count as a zero after two full seasons and would barely qualify after three seasons getting his 32nd start in the last game of the season.
Tank Johnson had more starts than Geno after three seasons, but wasn't more talented. Your inclusion criteria is inherently flawed because it measures starts, not talent.
