01-16-2018, 03:05 PM
(01-16-2018, 01:22 PM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: QB Rating needs an OPS+ treatment, where the league average QB Rating that year is put at 100 points, and then how every many points above or below 100 a QB is, is how many % he was above or below average that year.
It would really solve a lot of problems of varying levels of offensive output for each year.
For instance, in 2017 there were 5 QBs with a QB Rating of at least 100, and 15 QBs of at least 90 QB Rating.
Meanwhile in 2005 there were 2 QBs with a QB Rating of at least 100, and 8 QBs of at least 90 QB Rating.
So if you think about it, Palmer's 101.1 QB Rating in 2005 is way more impressive than Wentz's 101.9 QB Rating in 2017.
If we had an OPS+ styled system, then we could look and see "Oh, in 2005 Palmer was 43% above average and in 2017 Wentz was 28% above average" or something like that.
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Granted, this is all based around a discussion on QB Rating, which isn't a particularly great stat (but not a particularly bad one either). Either way, it would give a much better point of dicussion for talking about QBs in different years, because even one or two years can provide a pretty big difference in what an average QB's numbers should be.
Sorry for thr OT post but....
From '05 through '15 league passer rating increased 9 out of ten years. Over that time it went up over 10% from 78.2 to 88.4. Over the same time passing yardage increased almost 20% from 203.5 ypg to 243.8.
However in each of the last two seasons both passer rating and passing yards have dropped. In '17 the league passer rating was 85.1 and yards per game was 224.4.
Two years is a little quick to judge a trend, but after the consistent rise for a complete decade it now seems that the pendulum might be swinging back toward the defense.