04-02-2018, 09:32 AM
(03-31-2018, 08:54 PM)McC Wrote: Actually, it kinda does. It means he has the intelligence to process coaching and improve. And he has already improved. Footwork is crucial to high accuracy and he looks better at it every time he throws--Senior Bowl, Combine, Pro Day.
18/30 is 60%. 17/30 is 56.6%. One more completion makes you a 60% passer. One.
He will make enough holy shit throws that his team will gladly live with one or two misses a game. Bank on it.
BTW, Dan Marino--59.4%. John Elway--56.9%. Terry Bradshaw--51.9%. Roger Staubach--57%. Those scatter armed QB's did okay.
You're referring to QBs that haven't played in the NFL since at least 1999. The game has changed a lot since then in favor of offense. I feel that at least Marino and Elway would be above 60% completion percentage in today's NFL.
And maybe Allen does make enough "holy sh*t" throws that a team will live with his lower completion percentage. That's fine, but I hope it's not the Bengals. I don't like passers like that. Too frustrating.
Here's an article I just found that provides some backing for my claim that I don't trust Josh Allen to become a good NFL QB...
Quote:My research of highly drafted quarterbacks since 1996 found that two college statistics adequately predict future NFL performance: games started and completion percentage. In fact, where a quarterback is selected in the draft has virtually no bearing on his NFL success. Games started and completion percentage are far better than the scouts at determining how good a player will be.http://www.espn.com/nfl/news/story?id=3350135
Over the past 12 years (article written in 2008), teams have repeatedly drafted players who haven't shown the ability to consistently complete passes at the college level, and these players have consistently failed. For some reason, scouts expected players such as Kyle Boller (48 percent), Jim Druckenmiller (54 percent) and Ryan Leaf (54 percent) to suddenly figure out how to complete passes once they hit the NFL. Having a high completion percentage (60 percent or higher) is no guarantee of success, especially if it was done in a small number of games in a fluky system (Tim Couch being a strong example), but it is a prerequisite for it.
Zac Taylor 2019-2020: 6 total wins
Zac Taylor 2021-2022: Double-digit wins each season, plus 5 postseason wins
Zac Taylor 2023: 9 wins despite losing Burrow half the season
Zac Taylor 2024: Started 1-4. If he can turn this into a playoff appearance, it will be impressive.
Sorry for Party Rocking!
Zac Taylor 2021-2022: Double-digit wins each season, plus 5 postseason wins
Zac Taylor 2023: 9 wins despite losing Burrow half the season
Zac Taylor 2024: Started 1-4. If he can turn this into a playoff appearance, it will be impressive.
Sorry for Party Rocking!