AD better deep ball than u think

[*PhilHos*]

(04-26-2018, 12:09 AM)wolverine515151 Wrote: If it is subjective it isn't as blatant as you are making it look. Each throw is judged by how open a receiver is.  This is broken into several categories  of how open they are such as, wide open, very open open, open, slightly open,  blanketed. 


It isn't like the guy is judging whether a player is open or not hes merely judging where he fits into these categories. The only subjectivity would be to determine the difference between say slightly open to blanketed, not as blatantly subjective like whether he is open or not open. It is much more fine tuned than that primitive approach you are suggesting.

It doesn't matter if it's blatant or not. The fact that it's subjective makes it a seriously flawed standard of measurement. The QB rating formula, while flawed, is at least based solely on objective data and is applied the same to every QB.

(04-26-2018, 12:09 AM)wolverine515151 Wrote: It isn't as subjective as the qb rating, which allows a qb to complete only 18% of his throws and score over a 100 rating. That is much more flawed and no way can you say a 18% completion percentage is a very effective qb on deep throws just because he throws a couple td's. 

The QB rating isn't subjective. You need to learn the difference between subjective and objective if you can't see that.


As to your 18% point, you forget that the QB rating formula also takes into account yards and TDs. So, the bare minimum a QB needs to get 100 rating with 18% completion % is 550 yards and 4 TDs. 

wolverine515151 Wrote:Lets set up an example to show you how the qb rating does not show how effective a qb rating is. Lets assume a team drives the ball 8 times a game. Lets assume that on every third down at midfield the qb launches a deep throw.

Now Dalton completed 3 out of 16 deep throws and scored a 106 rating.  That means, in two games , if he launched a deep throw at midfield, on third down, in two games, it would have scored say 2 tds and a field goal. That's 17 points or 8.5 points per game. So how effective is that 106 rating now when it only results in 8.5 points per game. 

The rating would be 106 yet its effectiveness produced 8.5 points per game in the two games. So the fact is this qb rating is not good for showing how EFFECTIVE  the qb is on deep throws. Using that deep ball strategy it  EFFECTIVELY  would have lost us the games.

I literally couldn't understand any of this. This makes absolutely no sense.