PFT Predicts Bengals Miss The Post Season

[Luvnit2]

(09-09-2015, 03:01 PM)Shake n Blake Wrote: Agreed. The logic is definitely faulty, but the 0-6 playoff record is an easy target for those that want to doubt the Bengals. It's fair to point it out as a reason why you don't think they'll win a Super Bowl, but it has nothing to do with the regular season, where the Bengals have been consistently good.

Also, there's this thing called the gambler's fallacy. Just because you flip a quarter 4 times and get tails each time, that doesn't mean that the 5th flip is more likely to land on heads. The Bengals making the playoffs 4 years in a row doesn't mean they are less likely to make the playoffs this year.

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

There are many reason why teams repeat and teams can't repeat.

On the factual side, the question becomes what changed for team A to be better or for team B to be worse?

In the Bengals case, their roster is arguably better right now simply due to the better health of a few starters who did not play in 2014 at all ) or 1 series.
Who did we lose? Burfict maybe, but he has a shot at playing more games in 2015 than he did in 2014. Geathers? Newman? Gresham? Newhouse? Still?

Who did we add?
Eifert (injured most of 2014
Marvin Jones (missed all)
Green (missed parts of 6 games)
Michael Johnson
Hawk
Sims
A rookie class

A see a stronger roster in 2015 than the one by week 2 of 2014.

The schedule is tougher, but the Steelers and Ravens schedules are equally tough and some would argue Steelers schedule is tougher

People can predict all of the want, but in my mind their logic is not picking us based on the history of how hard for a team  to make the playoffs versus looking team's additions. subtractions and schedules to determine we are out in 2015