Waiting for the Other Shoe to Drop

[Nicomo Cosca]

(09-19-2018, 02:37 PM)BengalD Wrote: So I went and looked up some statistics and I found: 12 teams (multiple super bowl victories) have won 84.6 % (44) of the super bowls. 8 teams(one super bowl victory) have won 15.4% of the super bowls. And should the Bengals win the super bowl that would be 9 of 53 almost 17%. Since there are 32 and all teams have a chance to start with - each time is entitled to 3.125 % chance of winning. So realistically this season this team has somewhere between 3.125% and 17% percent chance of winning the super bowl. Obviously those numbers are just chances based on eligibility and history and do not include human factors. Additionally - whatever the chances are of winning the super bowl truly are (I would love to ask Watson) , - they've been increased to some degree by virtue of the first two wins. Just a factoid - vegas started the season with a 1.25% chance of the Bengals winning the super bowl (somewhere around 80-1) and are now at 3.03% (33-1) .