10-25-2018, 09:43 AM
(10-24-2018, 06:08 PM)fredtoast Wrote: You have to be kidding, right?
You have probably made hundreds of posts in threads about Mike Brown's free agent policy over the years, but when you want to bash Marvin suddenly it is not an issue?
We had the talent to get into the playoffs, but in 5 of the 7 playoff games we were underdogs.
'05 Steelers 3 point favorite
'11 Texans 4 point favorite
'12 Texans 4 point favorite
'14 Colts 4 point favorite
'15 Steelers 3 point favorite
Going that route, the actual probability for winning a 3 point game as an underdog is 45.5%. The actual probability for winning a 4 point game as a dog is 37.6%. So they had two times where it was almost a coin flip, and three other times where it was a little less. We won't even bring up the score difference between those games, so not only did they not win, they defied the odds by a combined score of 125-66.