12-27-2018, 01:38 PM
(12-27-2018, 11:43 AM)Au165 Wrote: No one is buying the "zone read" looks. He is showing a naked bootleg basically because he is so little of a running threat. The system argument is slightly flawed because he isn't a half field spread QB. The fact it is a full field spread in itself already calms a lot of the "system" argument because he is making reads across the entire field on many throws. Saying he is throwing to wide open guys means he finds wide open guys, when you watch him in the pocket he is bouncing and scanning the field, don't undersell the skill required to do this. Those short high percentage throws are using West Coast concepts that are ran in the NFL (many people think he could be a fit for Gruden). He makes a lot of intermediate NFL level throws with touch which is something many rookies struggle with. Thing for me is watching his first 4 games compared to his last four games. What should get NFL teams excited is his decision making improvements as well as his touch on short routes getting better.
Will he come out with a Andrew Luck type grade? No. My guess is he will be graded similar to a guy like Joe Flacco or Mitchell Trubisky. I think a less athletic Trubisky is a reall good comparison for him to be honest. I think he will struggle in year 1 and show flashes, but in year 2 with the right coordinator he will see big improvements.
A lot of the things OSU does involves pro concepts, but these are things that are tools at the pro level that are crutches at OSU. For example, the first drive of the second half against Purdue, they just marched down the field with screen passes. The first drive against Michigan was just crossing patterns over and over again. When you have the athletes OSU does, you can do that. You can mix that in in the NFL, but you can't just rely on it play after play.
He does a good job with his reads and finding the open guy, but that's made a lot easier by having guys that are open by 2+ yards. However, that in itself is a concern. What he considers open at OSU is light years away from open in the NFL. You see a lot of QB's that are good at reading defenses in college turn into check down machines in the NFL, or worse, sit there and eat sacks because they don't trust their reads and don't trust their arm to squeeze one in. You'd like to see a guy that's a little more of a gunslinger and can consistently make throws into tight windows.