{The Ultimate ANDY DALTON Mega Thread}

[Shake n Blake]

(09-27-2015, 03:38 AM)Stormborn Wrote: If my calculations are correct this is from 2012 to the Oakland game, including the 3 playoff games, he had a chart from 2013 to 2014 but I guess he updated it and put it in more depth. For the common/uncommon, common is the teams he's played agaisnt that he's played that same year or a year before, so yes, mostly division. Uncommon would be a team he hasn't played against for at least 2 years. (So we're going back to 2013 and before opponents)

Using this metric, he should have good games agaisnt:

Oakland (check)
San Diego (check)
Kansas City
Seattle
Bills
Cardinals
Rams
49ers

Because these are teams he hasn't played agaisnt the year before, you can expect Dalton to perform better than average, really well as a matter of fact.

For the division, Steelers, yes he's shown progress. Ravens, to an exent some improvement. Don't leave the Browns out because Dalton sure as Hell knows they're a common opponent.

It maybe even be a better method to use for the whole team because sometimes Dalton plays ok in a common loss (2014 Patriots) or plays terrible in an uncommon win (2014 Bucs), but his level of play more times than not correlates to the team's level, so it works very well.

First off, thanks for explaining. 

He posted a 94.7 rating against the Ravens last year and was arguably the biggest reason we swept them. Compare that to the 62.4 rating he had against them prior to last year, and I'd say he improved more than "to an extent". He's been good against the Steelers for 4 straight games.

I rarely worry about Dalton in non-division (just the Browns really) games, regardless of how many times he's played against an opponent. Unless of course, we're talking about the playoffs. Then everyone struggles. I don't think playoff games should be used to prove this "common games" theory, as that's another problem entirely.