Boom or Bust Draft

[Luvnit2]

(05-17-2019, 08:19 PM)BengalChris Wrote: I think you are missing my point a little. If you replace a departing player with a less productive player then the team declines. If you replace them with a more productive player then the team improves.

The Bengals have to turn over a certain portion of their starters each year and since they won't go out get top flight starters in free agency those guys have to come from the draft.

"Could be", "potential", "might become", "maybe will be the next ____" are meaningless descriptions really. We have to see if these guys improve the team or not.

I too believe Williams was a safe pick and believe he'll be the best OT on the team by mid-season, if not before. That would be one upgrade though. Still need two more out of this draft and I'm just not seeing who two upgrades are just yet, which isn't odd given that they haven't played a season yet.

 

I see what you are saying, but very hard to evaluate. Let's take 2018 production:

Williams versus ? Hart or A. Smith? Or will it be Glenn? If Glenn, will Glenn move to RT or guard so then that has to be thrown into the analysis.

Sample - Eifert was our starting TE and we got nothing so does that make Sample an automatic upgrade if he is a big part of the TE packages by his being there to block at a minimum?

Pratt - If Pratt replaces Burfict, almost anything will be an upgrade.

Very hard to factor in injuries and PT of the prior starters into the analysis because a lot of those starters are back also or could be switched to a different role on the team.

But using your criteria, Williams, Sample and Pratt are 3 guys that should be better than the production in 2018 by those starters/players.