09-04-2019, 03:59 AM
Joe Mixon on the road.
2017 - per game, averaged 15 carries for 50 yards 3.3 ypc and had a total of 2 TDs.
2018 - per game, averaged 16 carries for 74 yards 4.6 ypc and had a total of 3 TDs.
He will need more carries and a lot more yards this week. Something like 22 carries for 105 yards and a TD or two.
Andy Dalton will need to be more like '15-'17 on the road where he went 39/10 TD to INT, than he was in '18 when he was 10/7.
Hidden yards, as Lap likes to call them--punt and kick returns--will need to be big for the Bengals to offset the defense and give the Bengals a shorter field.
And last but not least, turnovers will need to be in the Bengals favor. Since '15 the Bengals are;
19-7 when they win the turnover battle
5-17-1 when they lose the turnover battle, and
6-9 when they tie the turnover battle.
So, 25-16 when they win or tie,
and 5-17-1 when they lose.
Turnovers, more than anything, are a pretty good predictor of the outcome.
2017 - per game, averaged 15 carries for 50 yards 3.3 ypc and had a total of 2 TDs.
2018 - per game, averaged 16 carries for 74 yards 4.6 ypc and had a total of 3 TDs.
He will need more carries and a lot more yards this week. Something like 22 carries for 105 yards and a TD or two.
Andy Dalton will need to be more like '15-'17 on the road where he went 39/10 TD to INT, than he was in '18 when he was 10/7.
Hidden yards, as Lap likes to call them--punt and kick returns--will need to be big for the Bengals to offset the defense and give the Bengals a shorter field.
And last but not least, turnovers will need to be in the Bengals favor. Since '15 the Bengals are;
19-7 when they win the turnover battle
5-17-1 when they lose the turnover battle, and
6-9 when they tie the turnover battle.
So, 25-16 when they win or tie,
and 5-17-1 when they lose.
Turnovers, more than anything, are a pretty good predictor of the outcome.
![[Image: 4CV0TeR.png]](https://i.imgur.com/4CV0TeR.png)
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