Perspective on the value of a top 5 pick.

[CJD]

Top 5 picks aren't a sure thing. No pick is. But elite QBs are often taken at the top of the draft. Scott Wright's Draftcountdown.com used to have a tally for 2nd round QBs and their success and it was basically a dead zone. Drew Brees was, at the time of the article, one of the very few exceptions, with Dalton being another. But, generally speaking, if a QB isn't worth taking in the first round, their statistical success rate plummets.